How AI can predict cardio events using bone scans

An automated machine learning program has identified potential cardiovascular incidents, or fall and fracture risks, based on bone density scans.


The program was developed by researchers from Edith Cowan University (ECU) in conjunction with the University of Manitobaย 

When applying the algorithm to vertebral fracture assessment (VFA) images taken in older women during routine bone density testing, often as part of treatment plans for osteoporosis, researchers assessed the patientโ€™s presence, and extent of abdominal aortic calcification (AAC).

The AI algorithm shortens the time to screen for AAC significantly, taking less than a minute to predict AAC scores for thousands of images, compared with the five to six minutes it would take for an experienced reader to obtain a score from one image, researchers said.

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ECU research fellow Dr Cassandra Smith found 58% of older people screened during routine bone density testing presented with moderate to high levels of AAC, with one in four previously unaware they had high AAC.

High levels of ACC places them at the highest risk of heart attack and stroke.

โ€œWomen are recognised as being under screened and under-treated for cardiovascular disease,โ€ she said.

โ€œThis study shows that we can use widely available, low radiation bone density machines to identify women at high risk of cardiovascular disease, which would allow them to seek treatment.

โ€œPeople who have AAC donโ€™t present any symptoms, and without doing specific screening for AAC, this prognosis would often go unnoticed.

โ€œBy applying this algorithm during bone density scans, women have a much better chance of a diagnosis.โ€

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Using the same AI algorithm, ECU senior research fellow Dr Marc Sim found those patients with moderate to high AAC scores also had a greater chance of fall-associated hospitalisation and fractures, compared with those with low AAC scores.

โ€œThe higher the calcification in your arteries, the higher the risk of falls and fracture,โ€ Dr Sim said.

โ€œWhen we look at traditional falls and fracture risk factors, things like โ€˜have you fallen in the past yearโ€™ and bone mineral density are generally very good indicators of how likely someone is to fall and fracture.

โ€œSome medications are also associated with higher falls risks. Rarely do we consider vascular health when considering falls and fractures.

โ€œOur analysis uncovered that AAC was a very strong contributor to falls risks and was actually more significant than other factors that are clinically identified as falls risk factors.โ€

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Dr Sim said that the new algorithm, when applied to bone density scans, could give clinicians more information around the vascular health of patients, which is an under-recognised risk factor for falls and fractures.


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